It’s that time of year to predict what will happen in the coming year so I’ll just get right to the chase:
Political
- Mitt Romney will have the GOP nomination all but locked up by Valentine’s Day.
- In order to keep Ron Paul from running as a 3rd party candidate, Rand Paul will be a primetime GOP convention speaker, possibly the keynote speaker.
- Romney will pick a Southern governor or Congressman as his running mate.
- Barack Obama will be reelected easily, Dems take the House, GOP takes the Senate. The American people just don’t like Mitt Romney.
- Obamacare’s individual mandate will be struck down by the Supreme Court, but the rest of the law is upheld.
- Taxes return to Clinton era levels at the end of the year.
- Both Occupy and the Tea Party will be all but finished.
- SOPA passes Congress and more bipartisan, draconian “security” legislation is debated and passed as well.
- Americans Elect will fail to attract a big name candidate and Donald Trump will not run for president. Gary Johnson will not win more than 1% of the vote, if that.
- 2012 Presidential Election will have the lowest turnout in recent history
International
- Israel or US will strike Iran by spring.
- Bashir Assad is ousted in Syria.
- Netanyahu government falls in Israel
- The Eurozone continues its transformation into a Franco-German dominated superstate, while outsiders like the UK, the Czech Republic, and Sweden begin their exit from the European Union
- Hugo Chavez joins Kim Jung Il and Gaddafi in hell.
- Argentina invades the Falkland Islands but UK retakes them with US help
- North Korea provokes an incident with South Korea, but tensions die down after a month or so.
- Mexico’s violence finally deteriorates into full blown civil war
- UK’s coalition government falls and Conservatives hold power in a minority government in the resulting general election
Economic
- Oil reaches nearly $200 a barrel pushing the world back into economic recession
- US unemployment hovers around 8-9%
- Gold bubble continues to deflate
- Housing prices continue to stagnate or fall in most markets
- Food prices climb by at least 10% on average
Sports
- New England Patriots defeat New Orleans Saints in the Super Bowl
- Drew Brees becomes highest paid quarterback in NFL history and stays in New Orleans
- Manchester City wins English Premier League
- New York Yankees win World Series
- United States wins both most medals and most gold medals in the London Olympic games
Other
- Nothing happens on December 21, 2012; except many mass suicides.
[...] Here’s how I did last year. [...]